Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP33197118-0003
Tongs Under Armour Core Pth Slide 42,5
longtail
1P
CHAUSSURES DE VILLE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
31
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
29
≈ 23.3 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 171
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-05-06
MP33197118-0003
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 79 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tongs Under Armour Core Pth Slide 42,5 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +57.1% · on-hand 29 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 78.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.5K |