Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP282479489-9914
Puma Flexfocus Lite Modern Chaussures - Noir
longtail
1P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
Last 4 weeks demand
3
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
4
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-07-07
1P stock
4
≈ 4.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-07-07
Unit price
MAD 370
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-07-04
MP282479489-9914
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-29 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Puma Flexfocus Lite Modern Chaussures - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, stable demand · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (91 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.40 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |