Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP25380352-0007
ADIDAS Claquette ADILETTE AQUA pour hommes - Noir & Blanc
longtail
1P
CHAUSSURES DE VILLE
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▲ 41.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
20
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
20
≈ 15.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 189
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
MP25380352-0007
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 145 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS Claquette ADILETTE AQUA pour hommes - Noir & Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +41.7% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (504 days of history, 92 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.25 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 25.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 91.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 145.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 27.4K |