Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP25380352-0001
ADIDAS Claquette ADILETTE AQUA pour hommes - Noir & Blanc
longtail
1P
CHAUSSURES DE VILLE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▲ 53.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
118
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
118
≈ 114.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 198
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
MP25380352-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 91 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS Claquette ADILETTE AQUA pour hommes - Noir & Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending up +53.8% · on-hand 118 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (735 days of history, 99 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.89 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 9.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 15.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 58.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 91.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.1K |