Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP204969300-9914
Chaussures - ADIDAS - Advantage Base 2.0 - Blanc - Synthétique - Lacets
longtail
3P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 459
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-09-27
MP204969300-9914
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 41 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaussures - ADIDAS - Advantage Base 2.0 - Blanc - Synthétique - Lacets · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (665 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 9.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 40.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.8K |