Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP204969080-9914
Basket - ADIDAS VL Court Base - Pour homme - Blanc et Marron
longtail
1P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 6 live offers
1P stock
9
≈ 9.0 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 446
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-27
MP204969080-9914
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 68 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Basket - ADIDAS VL Court Base - Pour homme - Blanc et Marron · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -16.7% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (581 days of history, 40 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.68 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 20.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 30.5K |