Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP17871898-0005
Claquettes - ADIDAS - Adilette Aqua F35550 - Noire
longtail
3P
CHAUSSURES DE VILLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
26
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 244
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
MP17871898-0005
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 171 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Claquettes - ADIDAS - Adilette Aqua F35550 - Noire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (882 days of history, 89 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.42 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 80.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 170.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 41.7K |