Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP17871898-0005
Claquettes - ADIDAS - Adilette Aqua F35550 - Noire
longtail
1P + 3P
CHAUSSURES DE VILLE
Last 4 weeks demand
30
▲ 76.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
48
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
38
≈ 35.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 179
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
MP17871898-0005
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 75 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Claquettes - ADIDAS - Adilette Aqua F35550 - Noire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 30 units, trending up +76.5% · on-hand 38 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (945 days of history, 134 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.28 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 30 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 7.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 75.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.5K |