Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP17871898-0001
Claquettes - ADIDAS - Adilette Aqua F35550 - Noire
longtail
1P + 3P
CHAUSSURES DE VILLE
Last 4 weeks demand
21
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
59
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
55
≈ 55.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 197
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
MP17871898-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 99 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Claquettes - ADIDAS - Adilette Aqua F35550 - Noire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 55 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (966 days of history, 126 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.11 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 15.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 57.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 99.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 19.5K |