Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP16443537-0005
Sandale - ADIDAS ORIGINALS - ADILETTE AQUA - Bleu - Mixte - Basse
longtail
1P
PISCINE - PLONGEE - CHASSE SOUS-MARINE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 133.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
141
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
141
≈ 219.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 197
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-04
MP16443537-0005
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 151 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sandale - ADIDAS ORIGINALS - ADILETTE AQUA - Bleu - Mixte - Basse · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +133.3% · on-hand 141 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (854 days of history, 76 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 27.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 12.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 40.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 150.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 29.7K |