Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MIX3600551125282
Mixa Dermo Protect Lait Solaire SPF50+ Hydratation 24h 175ml
hero
1P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
92
▼ 44.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
13
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
13
≈ 1.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 115
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
MIX3600551125282
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 585 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mixa Dermo Protect Lait Solaire SPF50+ Hydratation 24h 175ml · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 92 units, trending down -44.2% · on-hand 23 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (749 days of history, 563 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.16 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 92 units · prev 4w = 165 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 27.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 99.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 311.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 34.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 147.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 584.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 16.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 67.4K |