Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MIX3600551125282
Mixa Dermo Protect Lait Solaire SPF50+ Hydratation 24h 175ml
midtail
1P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
80
≈ stable (2.6% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+29.0%
vs same 4w last year (62 units)
Current stock
306
≈ 62.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 115
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
MIX3600551125282
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 199 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mixa Dermo Protect Lait Solaire SPF50+ Hydratation 24h 175ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 80 units, stable demand · on-hand 306 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (700 days of history, 313 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 80 units · prev 4w = 78 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 11.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 40.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 85.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 21.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 85.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 198.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 22.9K |