Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MIX3600550937329
Crème Mains Réparatrice - Mixa - Cica-Mains - 50ml - Apaisante - Résistante à l'eau
hero
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
▼ 44.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
193
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
6
≈ 0.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 32
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
MIX3600550937329
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 309 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Crème Mains Réparatrice - Mixa - Cica-Mains - 50ml - Apaisante - Résistante à l'eau · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending down -44.4% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (623 days of history, 708 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.36 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 27 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 33.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 143.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 60.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 309.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.9K |