Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MIX3600550937329
Crème Mains Réparatrice - Mixa - Cica-Mains - 50ml - Apaisante - Résistante à l'eau
hero
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▲ 54.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
209
Σ Stock across 7 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
45
≈ 5.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 33
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
MIX3600550937329
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 715 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Crème Mains Réparatrice - Mixa - Cica-Mains - 50ml - Apaisante - Résistante à l'eau · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +54.5% · on-hand 45 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (686 days of history, 709 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.40 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 16.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 236.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 31.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 111.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 715.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 9.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.4K |