Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MISMARTCAMC400W
Caméra de surveillance filaire XIAOMI Smart C400 - Intérieur - Alexa, assistant Google, Wifi - Vision nocturne
longtail
1P
SECURITE MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
3
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
35
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
35
≈ 52.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 483
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
MISMARTCAMC400W
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 52 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Caméra de surveillance filaire XIAOMI Smart C400 - Intérieur - Alexa, assistant Google, Wifi - Vision nocturne · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 35 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (896 days of history, 48 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 28.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 12.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 24.9K |