Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MISMARTCAMC200W
Xiaomi Smart Camera C200 – Caméra de Surveillance Intérieure – Full HD 1080p – Panoramique 360° – Vision Nocturne – Blanc
longtail
1P
SECURITE MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▲ 63.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
12
≈ 5.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 292
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
MISMARTCAMC200W
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 117 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Xiaomi Smart Camera C200 – Caméra de Surveillance Intérieure – Full HD 1080p – Panoramique 360° – Vision Nocturne – Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending up +63.6% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (882 days of history, 186 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.96 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 33.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 116.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 34.0K |