Demand Forecast

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Xiaomi - Caméra de Surveillance Extérieure AW200 – IP65 – Vision Nocturne Couleur – Compatible Alexa & Google Assistant – WiFi
SKU · MICAMOUTAW200W

Xiaomi - Caméra de Surveillance Extérieure AW200 – IP65 – Vision Nocturne Couleur – Compatible Alexa & Google Assistant – WiFi

longtail 1P SECURITE MAISON
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

5
≈ 5.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 279
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02

MICAMOUTAW200W

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Xiaomi - Caméra de Surveillance Extérieure AW200 – IP65 – Vision Nocturne Couleur – Compatible Alexa & Google Assistant – WiFi · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 5 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (588 days of history, 57 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months14.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week2.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)13.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)49.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 13.9K