Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MEG0070382141165
MEGUIAR'S - Natural Shine brillant tableau
longtail
3P
NETTOYAGE - LIQUIDES ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
4
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-06-30 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 176
avg of last 13 sells · latest 2026-03-22
MEG0070382141165
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 31 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
MEGUIAR'S - Natural Shine brillant tableau · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (931 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.00 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 7.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 31.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.5K |