Demand Forecast

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Crayon à Sourcils MAYBELLINE NEW YORK Brow Ultra Slim Rétractable Haute-Précision - 02 Soft Brownu
SKU · MAY3600531579500

Crayon à Sourcils MAYBELLINE NEW YORK Brow Ultra Slim Rétractable Haute-Précision - 02 Soft Brownu

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

1
≈ 6.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 73
avg of last 16 sells · latest 2026-04-12

MAY3600531579500

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 43 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Crayon à Sourcils MAYBELLINE NEW YORK Brow Ultra Slim Rétractable Haute-Précision - 02 Soft Brownu · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 1 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (749 days of history, 5 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.32 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months14.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week2.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)11.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)42.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.1K