Demand Forecast

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Maybelline Instant Age Rewind Eraser Anti-cernes - 6.8 ml
SKU · MAY3600531396855

Maybelline Instant Age Rewind Eraser Anti-cernes - 6.8 ml

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 83.3% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

8
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

8
≈ 3.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05

Unit price

MAD 103
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-22

MAY3600531396855

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 139 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Maybelline Instant Age Rewind Eraser Anti-cernes - 6.8 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -83.3% · on-hand 8 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1232 days of history, 59 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.79 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 6 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week2.7 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks12.5 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months57.2 units
Optimistic — next week4.6 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)24.8 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)139.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 14.3K