Demand Forecast

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Maybelline New York Cils Sensational Sky High Mascara Bleu 7.2 ML
SKU · MAY1704453434690

Maybelline New York Cils Sensational Sky High Mascara Bleu 7.2 ML

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-83.3%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)

Current stock

28
≈ 10.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 94
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

MAY1704453434690

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 111 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Maybelline New York Cils Sensational Sky High Mascara Bleu 7.2 ML · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 28 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (805 days of history, 60 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 4 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)26.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)111.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 10.5K