Demand Forecast

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Maybelline New York Cils Sensational Sky High Mascara Bleu 7.2 ML
SKU · MAY1704453434690

Maybelline New York Cils Sensational Sky High Mascara Bleu 7.2 ML

longtail 1P + 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

32
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

21
≈ 9.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02

Unit price

MAD 100
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-13

MAY1704453434690

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 86 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Maybelline New York Cils Sensational Sky High Mascara Bleu 7.2 ML · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 21 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (903 days of history, 49 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.80 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks0.8 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months14.9 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		4.2 units
Optimistic — next week6.1 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)30.8 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)86.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.5
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.6K