Demand Forecast
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SKU · MAN3532281668305
Manix Skyn 5 Senses 5 préservatifs
longtail
3P
SEXUALITE - GROSSESSE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 300.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-71.4%
vs same 4w last year (14 units)
Current stock
60
≈ 44.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 40
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-28
MAN3532281668305
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Manix Skyn 5 Senses 5 préservatifs · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +300.0% · on-hand 60 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1169 days of history, 49 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 3.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 50.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.0K |