Demand Forecast

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Manix Pure Gel Lubrifiant Intime 200ml
SKU · MAN3532281663607

Manix Pure Gel Lubrifiant Intime 200ml

midtail 3P SEXUALITE - GROSSESSE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

22
▼ 31.2% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-15.4%
vs same 4w last year (26 units)

Current stock

254
≈ 53.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 83
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

MAN3532281663607

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 172 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Manix Pure Gel Lubrifiant Intime 200ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 22 units, trending down -31.2% · on-hand 254 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (896 days of history, 326 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 22 units · prev 4w = 32 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week5.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks19.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months51.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week13.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)63.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)172.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)4.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 14.3K