Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MAN3532281653103
Manix Gel Lubrifiant Infiniti 100ml
midtail
3P
SEXUALITE - GROSSESSE
Last 4 weeks demand
19
▼ 26.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+11.8%
vs same 4w last year (17 units)
Current stock
335
≈ 96.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 88
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
MAN3532281653103
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 148 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Manix Gel Lubrifiant Infiniti 100ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending down -26.9% · on-hand 335 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1141 days of history, 280 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 26 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 17.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 48.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 148.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.1K |