Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LUM1691792546441
Assiette creuse - LUMINARC - Pampille - Verre 20 cm - Blanc - Compatible lave-vaisselle
longtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)
Current stock
74
≈ 109.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 7
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-04-11
LUM1691792546441
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Assiette creuse - LUMINARC - Pampille - Verre 20 cm - Blanc - Compatible lave-vaisselle · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 74 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (896 days of history, 80 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.36 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | — units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |