Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LUM0883314321487
6 verres à thé Elysées 16cl LUMINARC
midtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
126
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
54
≈ 15.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
LUM0883314321487
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
6 verres à thé Elysées 16cl LUMINARC · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +16.7% · on-hand 54 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1253 days of history, 430 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.61 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 69.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 143.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.5K |