Demand Forecast

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Assiette Creuse Noire 21 cm – Collection Carine Noir – Luminarc
SKU · LUM0026102895207

Assiette Creuse Noire 21 cm – Collection Carine Noir – Luminarc

longtail 1P + 3P SERVICE DE TABLE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

17
▲ 240.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

129
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

26
≈ 9.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02

Unit price

MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-25

LUM0026102895207

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 301 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Assiette Creuse Noire 21 cm – Collection Carine Noir – Luminarc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +240.0% · on-hand 26 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (840 days of history, 286 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.08 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.8 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks4.2 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months87.9 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		8.0 units
Optimistic — next week10.0 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)43.2 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)300.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)4.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.6K