Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LUM0026102895191
Assiette plate noire 26 cm - Carine Noir - Luminarc
midtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▲ 183.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
255
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
113
≈ 36.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-25
LUM0026102895191
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 351 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Assiette plate noire 26 cm - Carine Noir - Luminarc · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +183.3% · on-hand 113 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1232 days of history, 301 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.01 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 9.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 38.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 142.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 79.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 350.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.6K |