Demand Forecast

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Shampooing Elsève L'OREAL Color-Vive Violet Déjaunisseur - 200 ml
SKU · LOR3600523682676

Shampooing Elsève L'OREAL Color-Vive Violet Déjaunisseur - 200 ml

longtail 3P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▼ 44.4% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-54.5%
vs same 4w last year (11 units)

Current stock

51
≈ 35.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

LOR3600523682676

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Shampooing Elsève L'OREAL Color-Vive Violet Déjaunisseur - 200 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -44.4% · on-hand 51 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1162 days of history, 91 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 9 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months25.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)23.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)65.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.9
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.8K