Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LOR3600523582471
Gel Douche - L'Oréal Men Expert - Stop Stress - 300ml - Parfum Boisé et Fruité - Relaxant
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
30
Σ Stock across 7 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 35
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
LOR3600523582471
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 57 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Gel Douche - L'Oréal Men Expert - Stop Stress - 300ml - Parfum Boisé et Fruité - Relaxant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 30 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1127 days of history, 38 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.98 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 56.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.0K |