Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LOR3600523193295
Coloration temporaire Magic Retouch Spray Racines L'OREAL PARIS - Châtain Foncé - 75 ml
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
16
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 102
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
LOR3600523193295
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 63 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Coloration temporaire Magic Retouch Spray Racines L'OREAL PARIS - Châtain Foncé - 75 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1183 days of history, 57 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.57 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 30.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 63.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.5K |