Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LIS3574661634975
-Listerine Bain de Bouche Total Care 6 250 ml
midtail
3P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
-91.7%
vs same 4w last year (24 units)
Current stock
52
≈ 13.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 24
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-26
LIS3574661634975
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 131 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
-Listerine Bain de Bouche Total Care 6 250 ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 52 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (798 days of history, 88 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.22 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 29.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 130.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.1K |