Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LIF0737870160397
Life Extension, Magnésium neuro-Mag L-thréonate,90 capsules végétariennes.
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
13
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 495
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
LIF0737870160397
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 45 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Life Extension, Magnésium neuro-Mag L-thréonate,90 capsules végétariennes. · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (623 days of history, 58 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.54 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 22.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 11.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 45.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 22.3K |