Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LAS3600550808339
Cica-crème Réparatrice MIXA - Zones Fragilisées - 50 ml
longtail
1P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
28
Σ Stock across 8 live offers
1P stock
28
≈ 29.8 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 59
avg of last 25 sells · latest 2025-12-25
LAS3600550808339
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 48 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cica-crème Réparatrice MIXA - Zones Fragilisées - 50 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 28 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1141 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.57 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 47.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.8K |