Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LAS3600550808339
Cica-crème Réparatrice MIXA - Zones Fragilisées - 50 ml
longtail
1P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 14.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
11
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
11
≈ 39.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 66
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
LAS3600550808339
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 70 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cica-crème Réparatrice MIXA - Zones Fragilisées - 50 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +14.3% · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1190 days of history, 38 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 38.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.6K |