Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LAR3337875797719
Anthelios-La Roche-Posay Anthelios Uvmune 400 Crémé Sans Parfum 50 ml Spf50+
midtail
1P + 3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 25.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
16
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
15
≈ 3.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 152
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
LAR3337875797719
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 143 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Anthelios-La Roche-Posay Anthelios Uvmune 400 Crémé Sans Parfum 50 ml Spf50+ · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +25.0% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1190 days of history, 79 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.97 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 15.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 64.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 143.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 21.8K |