Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LAR3337875797719
Anthelios-La Roche-Posay Anthelios Uvmune 400 Crémé Sans Parfum 50 ml Spf50+
midtail
1P
SOLAIRES
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 88.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-98.3%
vs same 4w last year (60 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 141
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
LAR3337875797719
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 111 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Anthelios-La Roche-Posay Anthelios Uvmune 400 Crémé Sans Parfum 50 ml Spf50+ · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -88.9% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1120 days of history, 160 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 32.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 111.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.7K |