Demand Forecast
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SKU · LAR3337875517300
La Roche Posay Cicaplast Baume B5 Réparateur Apaisant SPF50 40ml
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+275.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
3,530
≈ 885.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 161
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
LAR3337875517300
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 134 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
La Roche Posay Cicaplast Baume B5 Réparateur Apaisant SPF50 40ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, stable demand · on-hand 3530 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1197 days of history, 202 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.21 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 18.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 47.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 134.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 21.6K |