Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · LAR1739058125372
La Roche-Posay Anthelios UVmune 400 Fluide Anti-Taches SPF 50+ 50 ml
longtail
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
4
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 167
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-21
LAR1739058125372
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 122 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
La Roche-Posay Anthelios UVmune 400 Fluide Anti-Taches SPF 50+ 50 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (448 days of history, 87 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 58.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 121.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.3K |