Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · KRU0010942206781
Détartreur - Krups - F 054 00 - Conçu pour machine à café - Accessoire de nettoyage
midtail
3P
PRODUIT D'ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
29
▼ 45.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+141.7%
vs same 4w last year (12 units)
Current stock
18
≈ 3.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 46
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
KRU0010942206781
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 189 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Détartreur - Krups - F 054 00 - Conçu pour machine à café - Accessoire de nettoyage · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 29 units, trending down -45.3% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (476 days of history, 295 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 29 units · prev 4w = 53 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 21.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 52.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 19.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 72.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 189.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.7K |