Demand Forecast

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Kin bain de bouche gingival 250 ml
SKU · KIN8470003731591

Kin bain de bouche gingival 250 ml

longtail 3P DENTAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

12
▲ 71.4% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+300.0%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)

Current stock

1,715
≈ 1232.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 46
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

KIN8470003731591

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 74 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Kin bain de bouche gingival 250 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending up +71.4% · on-hand 1715 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1155 days of history, 112 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 7 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)24.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)74.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.4K