Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · KEM6955549320284
Rasoir électrique - KM - KM-2028 - Rechargeable - Étanchéité IPX4 - Autonomie 60 min
longtail
3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+14.3%
vs same 4w last year (7 units)
Current stock
14
≈ 7.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 238
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
KEM6955549320284
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Rasoir électrique - KM - KM-2028 - Rechargeable - Étanchéité IPX4 - Autonomie 60 min · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 14 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (588 days of history, 106 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.55 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 10.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 28.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 72.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 17.3K |