Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · JEU3561863250324
Jeux 2 Momes Cartes Educatives Pays et Drapeaux (2327)
longtail
1P
JEUX DE SOCIETE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▲ 1100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
43
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
10
≈ 13.3 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 35
avg of last 26 sells · latest 2025-06-22
JEU3561863250324
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 71 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Jeux 2 Momes Cartes Educatives Pays et Drapeaux (2327) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending up +1100.0% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (812 days of history, 13 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 71.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.5K |