Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · INT6941057452203
Bouée Intex Animaux - INTEX - Pour enfants de 3 ans et plus - Personnage assorti envoyé aléatoirement
longtail
3P
JEUX D'EAU - JEUX DE PLAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
235
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 6 sells · latest 2025-08-19
INT6941057452203
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouée Intex Animaux - INTEX - Pour enfants de 3 ans et plus - Personnage assorti envoyé aléatoirement · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 235 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (364 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.31 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |