Demand Forecast
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SKU · HP3YM61AE
HP 305 Cartouche d'encre noire authentique (3YM61AE) pour HP DeskJet 2300/2710/2720/Plus4100, HP Envy 6000/Pro 6400
longtail
3P
IMPRESSION - SCANNER
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
69
Σ Stock across 7 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 172
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
HP3YM61AE
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 59 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
HP 305 Cartouche d'encre noire authentique (3YM61AE) pour HP DeskJet 2300/2710/2720/Plus4100, HP Envy 6000/Pro 6400 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 69 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1099 days of history, 98 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 28.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 59.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.2K |