Demand Forecast

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HP 123 Noir originale cartouche d'encre pour Deskjet 2130, 26XX, 3630, 37XX; Envy 4523, 50XX; Officejet 3835, 4655, 52XX
SKU · HP0888793803172

HP 123 Noir originale cartouche d'encre pour Deskjet 2130, 26XX, 3630, 37XX; Envy 4523, 50XX; Officejet 3835, 4655, 52XX

longtail 3P IMPRESSION - SCANNER
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

23
≈ 44.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 178
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

HP0888793803172

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 51 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

HP 123 Noir originale cartouche d'encre pour Deskjet 2130, 26XX, 3630, 37XX; Envy 4523, 50XX; Officejet 3835, 4655, 52XX · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 23 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1099 days of history, 20 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.56 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months13.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)15.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)50.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 9.1K