Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · HOB8694064001220
Hobby haute qualité avec poignée en plastique Passoire filtre - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P
USTENSILES DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 25.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
5
Σ Stock across 5 live offers
1P stock
5
≈ 6.8 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 8
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
HOB8694064001220
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Hobby haute qualité avec poignée en plastique Passoire filtre - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +25.0% · on-hand 5 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (952 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 22.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 71.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 596 |