Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · HAS1732775450334
Crème de soin capillaire - HASK - Curl Care - 198 ml - Cheveux bouclés - Ingrédients naturels
longtail
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 250.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
17
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
4
≈ 6.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 128
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-05
HAS1732775450334
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Crème de soin capillaire - HASK - Curl Care - 198 ml - Cheveux bouclés - Ingrédients naturels · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +250.0% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (553 days of history, 31 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.58 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.8K |