Demand Forecast

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Mascara False Lashes Noir
SKU · GOL8691190122416

Mascara False Lashes Noir

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

9
▲ 12.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-40.0%
vs same 4w last year (15 units)

Current stock

1
≈ 0.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 59
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03

GOL8691190122416

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 112 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Mascara False Lashes Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +12.5% · on-hand 1 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (966 days of history, 117 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months30.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)29.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)112.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.7K