Demand Forecast

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Gillette Artic Ice Déodorant Clear Gel - 4084500471733
SKU · GIL7702018978106

Gillette Artic Ice Déodorant Clear Gel - 4084500471733

longtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

11
▲ 83.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+83.3%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)

Current stock

1
≈ 1.0 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 22
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03

GIL7702018978106

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 78 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Gillette Artic Ice Déodorant Clear Gel - 4084500471733 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +83.3% · on-hand 1 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1134 days of history, 109 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.82 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 6 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months21.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)78.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.7K