Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · GIL3518646126840
Gilbert Bébé Carrés de Soin Visage et Corps 100 unités
longtail
3P
HYGIENE BEBE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 400.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-9.1%
vs same 4w last year (11 units)
Current stock
148
≈ 75.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 32
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-23
GIL3518646126840
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 125 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Gilbert Bébé Carrés de Soin Visage et Corps 100 unités · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +400.0% · on-hand 148 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1183 days of history, 121 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 10.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 34.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 124.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.0K |