Demand Forecast

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DAYLONG SENSITIVE GEL FLUIDE VISAGE TRES HAUTE PROTECTION SPF50+ PEAUX GRASSES 50ML
SKU · GAL7612076109636

DAYLONG SENSITIVE GEL FLUIDE VISAGE TRES HAUTE PROTECTION SPF50+ PEAUX GRASSES 50ML

longtail 3P HYGIENE BEBE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

-75.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)

Current stock

153
≈ 232.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 143
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-14

GAL7612076109636

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 38 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

DAYLONG SENSITIVE GEL FLUIDE VISAGE TRES HAUTE PROTECTION SPF50+ PEAUX GRASSES 50ML · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 153 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (973 days of history, 9 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.57 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months13.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week2.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)10.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)38.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.5K