Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · FAB4005401660996
Stylo feutre - FABER-CASTELL - ECCO PIGMENT - 0,05 mm - Noir - Résistant à l'eau
longtail
3P
DESSIN - COLORIAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
20
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 24
avg of last 3 sells · latest 2026-04-17
FAB4005401660996
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Stylo feutre - FABER-CASTELL - ECCO PIGMENT - 0,05 mm - Noir - Résistant à l'eau · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (224 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.35 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |