Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · EZV6941545614267
Caméra de surveillance motorisée Ezviz H6C 2MP
longtail
3P
SECURITE MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
138
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 302
avg of last 20 sells · latest 2026-07-02
EZV6941545614267
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 64 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Caméra de surveillance motorisée Ezviz H6C 2MP · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 138 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (609 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.49 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 31.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 64.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 19.3K |