Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · EUC4005800235412
Eucerin Pigment Control - Eucerin - LSF 50+ - 50 ml - Hypoallergénique - Fluide
longtail
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▲ 12.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
9
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 172
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
EUC4005800235412
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 68 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Eucerin Pigment Control - Eucerin - LSF 50+ - 50 ml - Hypoallergénique - Fluide · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +12.5% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (287 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.55 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.8K |